Research Papers
 
Post Keynesian Economics
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PKE10 Conflict Inflation and Trade Structure in an Open Economy, Presented to the 10th International Post Keynesian Conference, June, (2008), University of Missouri, Kansas City. The paper draws together the various essential elements of the conflict inflation approach within the context of an open economy. We present a basic model and several extensions that explain why, once output is allowed to vary, there is no practicable method of tackling three crucial macroeconomic targets –external balance, internal balance and workers/firms aspiration balance. The framework suggests that external conditions might also be important in the explanation of price stabilization in developing countries and emerging markets since the mid 1990s
PKE9 Reassessing Fiscal Policy: A View from the South, Presented to the 9th International Post Keynesian Conference, Sep. 15-18, (2006),Kansas City A comprehensive reassessment of the theoretical adequacy of the orthodox approach to fiscal policy in the context of developing countries. We explore the functioning of the diverse mechanisms that supports fiscal retrenchment and clarify some common misunderstandings. We find that none of the conventional arguments against fiscal activism is wholly convincing. At the heart of the debate lies the question of assumptions, economic structure, and causation mechanisms.
PKE8 Fiscal Policy: Evolution and Issues , (2006), Prepared for the International Encyclopedia of Public Policy: Governance in a Global Age, Edited by Phillip O´Hara, Forthcoming. It reviews the use and evolution of fiscal instruments as tools of macro-policy since 1930s and shows how economists’ view of fiscal policy usefulness has fluctuated widely. The debate concerning sustainability, output stabilization, inflation and the effects of fiscal policy on the external accounts is covered.
PKE7 The Balance-of-Payments-Constrained Growth Model: A North-South Approach (2005), Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol. 29, N° 1, pp. 67-92. Itdevelops a general extended version of the balance-of-payments constrained growth model. The extension takes into account trade imbalances and the importance of net financial flows in the long-run, relative price changes caused by idiosyncratic rules of adjustment in prices, and trade and payments interdependence among asymmetric regions. Contingent on parameters values of each region, we found that an exogenous change in the rate of growth of financial transfers may generate either a mutually reinforcing growth regime or a conflicting growth regime.
 
 

PKE6 Representative Agent Meets Class Structure: Imperfect Competition and the Balanced-Budget Multiplier(2005), Cambridge Journal of Economics, Vol. 30, N° 5. It presents a critique to the recent New-Keynesian results regarding the relationship between imperfect competition and the size of the budget-balanced multiplier. We show that a Kaleckian approach, where class structure matters, offers a richer set of results. We demonstrate, that even in a general equilibrium optimizing framework, when class structure is taken into account the balanced-budget multiplier is strictly decreasing in the degree of monopoly.

 


PKE5 Can Recession Feed Inflation? A Conflicting Claims Framework (2005), Review of Political Economy, Volume 17, Number 4, 1–19, October.  Within a conflicting claims framework the paper develops a rationale for the recession-induced inflation hypothesis. We show how ex-post adjustments in nominal income after a slump may involve changes in prices rather than changes in income aspirations or output. Simple simulations are provided.

 


PKE4 Macroeconomic Adjustment under an External and Fiscal Constraint: A Fix Price/Flex Price Approach(2005),Metroeconomica,Vol.56, N° 1, pp. 126–156. The paper presents a dual economy model of the fix-price/flex-price kind that explicitly allows for the existence of a government budget constraint in a fully open economy. Short-run impacts of policy-induced variables and changes in exogenous external financing are analyzed. Relevant trade-offs, especially between output and inflation, appear in the short-run but these may be mitigated in the medium run since capital-augmenting public investment may increase the supply of basics goods and reduce their prices.

 


PKE3 Recession, High Interest Rates and Instability: Simple Macro-Dynamics, (2004), Economics Letters, Vol. 85, pp. 171–177. A highly stylized closed economy macro-model that recreates some empirically verified aspects of financial and macroeconomic instability in emerging markets. Simple dynamics show how a recession may lead to a shortfall of liquidity of banks which in turn may be forced to acquire additional liabilities and increase deposit rates. We show that an unstable path may emerge as a result of high interest rates paid on deposits and low output levels.

 


PKE2 Empleo, Distribución y Crecimiento: La Macroeconomía del Grado de Oligopolio(1998), Nueva Economía, Vol. 7, No. 11.  The paper shows how to construct a prototype model of imperfect competition along Kaleckian lines. The micro-determinants of market power are shown to determine output and income in the short-run. The model is extended to evaluate the relationship between income distribution and growth. The existence of different regimes (profit-led and wage-led) is explained by parametric configurations.

 


PKE1 Aproximaciones y Aspectos Particulares de la Inflación por Conflicto Distributivo, (1997). Published in Vera, L. (1997) "Contribuciones al Análisis de la Inflación: Anotaciones para el caso Venezolano," Ediciones EVE-FACES, Caracas. This paper reviews and integrates different developments regarding the relationship between distributive conflict and inflation. Issues such as the incidence of real shocks, the evolution of market power over cycle, the acceleration of inflation and the variation of the period of indexation are addressed. The paper also explains the relationship between income distribution, growth and inflation under conditions of steady state and non-liner dynamics. It exposes the literature that conceives conflict inflation as a distributive strategic game.

 
 
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